Early forecast · U17 Liga

Predicted 2026/27 Regular-Season Table

Name: U17 Boys Liga 2026/27 Forecast
Creator: PlayerSignal

A forecast of the table when the regular season ends, before the playoffs. It is based on this season's results, opponent strength and the players available to each team, and updates after every played match.

Medium certainty10,000 possible outcomesUpdated 23/09/2026

39matches played

57matches remaining

40.6%schedule completed

Mediumcurrent certainty

10,000possible outcomes tested

Race for places 1-6Brøndby 65.7%HB Køge is next at 45.9%

Highest chance of places 13-16AC Horsens 92.9%Team currently most likely to finish in this range

Biggest expected riseAaBCurrent 14 · forecast 12.1

Forecast table

PPG makes teams with different numbers of matches comparable. The range shows where the team finished in 8 out of 10 tested outcomes.

DBU schedule ↗

Forecast	Club	Current	PPG	Expected finish	Most likely range	Finishing chances
Places 1-6
1Down 0.8	Vejle Why here? Neutral strength: #1 · 1576Last season: 814 returning players	15 played	3.0015 total pts	1.81-3 range	Places 1-699.3% chance	1-6 99.3%7-12 0.8%13-16 0%
2Stable	FC København Why here? Neutral strength: #2 · 1571Last season: 115 returning players	34 played	2.5010 total pts	2.81-5 range	Places 1-695.7% chance	1-6 95.7%7-12 4.3%13-16 0%
3Down 2.5	Sønderjyske Fodbold Why here? Neutral strength: #5 · 1531Last season: 1213 returning players	25 played	2.4012 total pts	4.52-8 range	Places 1-681.4% chance	1-6 81.4%7-12 18.5%13-16 0.1%
4Up 1.1	Randers Freja FC Why here? Neutral strength: #6 · 1531Last season: 410 returning players	65 played	2.0010 total pts	4.92-8 range	Places 1-677.2% chance	1-6 77.2%7-12 22.7%13-16 0.2%
5Stable	OB Why here? Neutral strength: #4 · 1533Last season: 313 returning players	55 played	2.0010 total pts	5.42-9 range	Places 1-669% chance	1-6 69%7-12 30.7%13-16 0.4%
6Down 1.6	Brøndby Why here? Neutral strength: #3 · 1537Last season: 216 returning players	45 played	2.0010 total pts	5.62-9 range	Places 1-665.7% chance	1-6 65.7%7-12 33.9%13-16 0.4%
Places 7-12
7Stable	HB Køge Why here? Neutral strength: #7 · 1512No equivalent last-season position18 returning players	75 played	1.809 total pts	6.83-10 range	Places 7-1252.3% chance	1-6 45.9%7-12 52.3%13-16 1.8%
8Up 0.9	FC Nordsjælland Why here? Neutral strength: #8 · 1505Last season: 516 returning players	94 played	1.506 total pts	8.15-12 range	Places 7-1267.1% chance	1-6 27.8%7-12 67.1%13-16 5.1%
9Down 1.1	AGF Why here? Neutral strength: #9 · 1494Last season: 914 returning players	85 played	1.407 total pts	9.16-12 range	Places 7-1273% chance	1-6 17.4%7-12 73%13-16 9.6%
10Up 0.6	FC Midtjylland Why here? Neutral strength: #10 · 1492Last season: 615 returning players	105 played	1.206 total pts	9.46-13 range	Places 7-1275.2% chance	1-6 13.8%7-12 75.2%13-16 11.1%
11Stable	Lyngby Why here? Neutral strength: #11 · 1474Last season: 1014 returning players	115 played	0.804 total pts	11.48-14 range	Places 7-1261.9% chance	1-6 3.3%7-12 61.9%13-16 34.8%
12Up 1.9	AaB Why here? Neutral strength: #12 · 1468Last season: 1118 returning players	145 played	0.804 total pts	12.19-15 range	Places 7-1251.4% chance	1-6 1.6%7-12 51.4%13-16 47%
Places 13-16
13Up 0.6	Esbjerg Why here? Neutral strength: #13 · 1460Last season: 1415 returning players	135 played	0.804 total pts	12.49-15 range	Places 13-1653.7% chance	1-6 1.2%7-12 45.1%13-16 53.7%
14Down 0.6	Viborg FF Why here? Neutral strength: #14 · 1457No equivalent last-season position13 returning players	125 played	0.804 total pts	12.610-15 range	Places 13-1656.8% chance	1-6 0.9%7-12 42.3%13-16 56.8%
15Up 0.6	Silkeborg Why here? Neutral strength: #15 · 1439Last season: 713 returning players	155 played	0.201 total pts	14.412-16 range	Places 13-1686.2% chance	1-6 0.1%7-12 13.7%13-16 86.2%
16Up 1	AC Horsens Why here? Neutral strength: #16 · 1419Last season: 1314 returning players	165 played	0.000 total pts	1513-16 range	Places 13-1692.9% chance	1-6 0%7-12 7.1%13-16 92.9%

Tested on past seasons

We test the forecast by replaying completed U17/U19 seasons from the same point in the calendar. At each checkpoint it only sees facts that were available then: results, opponent strength, player continuity and the remaining schedule.

2.39PlayerSignal · average position error9.8% closer than using the points-per-game table only

2.58Club strength only

2.65Current table pace only

How to read it: lower is better. A score of 2.39 means the average club finished about two to three places away from the forecast. The comparison cards show whether the full PlayerSignal forecast beats simpler shortcuts.

Backtest: 2025/26 and 2024/25 · U17/U19 Liga and Division · 10,000 possible season outcomes at every checkpoint.

How the forecast is calculated

The forecast adjusts current results for opponent strength and capped score margin, then combines them with a shrinking previous-season prior and each returning player's latest 10 validated U17/U19 matches. It tests 10,000 possible final tables.

16.6%last season's U17 Liga table

75.2%current results and opponent strength

8.3%players returning from last season

+35rating points for the home team

This is an early estimate, not a final result. It forecasts where each U17 Boys Liga team could finish, with cut lines after places 6 and 12.